Includes comments on the real Fed Funds rate, investor sentiment, LATAM FX and small-cap stocks.
(BLOG) Morning Brief: August 23rd, 2018
Comments on the Brazilian Real, Italian bond yields, high yield ETF flows and US swap spreads.
(BLOG) Morning Brief: Aug 22nd, 2018
Recession Fears Yet another call for a recession, using the yield curve as a predictor. This time from Marc Seidner from PIMCO. He says there is a 70% chance the world economy enters a recession in the next 5 years. Why it matters. It doesn’t. First, making a recession call with a 5-year window …
(BLOG) Macro Briefing: July 16th, 2018
An update on the major events impacting financial markets.
(BLOG) Friday Macro Briefing
Short and sweet, Lots of charts. Here is a brief update on some the major macro issues moving markets.
(BLOG) Fixed Income Friday: May 18th, 2018
Stress in Italy; a break out in 10-year yields; carnage in emerging markets. Lot’s happened this week in fixed-income. Read the post to get the details.
(BLOG) Macro Briefing
This week’s edition has some interesting charts on investor sentiment, the reflation trade, the Iranian Rial weakness, higher EM bond yields, share buybacks and more.
(BLOG) Macro Briefing: April 30th
The (temporary) breach of the 3% level in 10-year rates, corporate earnings, the weakness in emerging markets, the recent bounce in the USD and the potential easing of geopolitical tensions are all driving the news flow. Here are some observations from last week: There is usually a pretty tight correlation between interest rates and stocks …
(BLOG) Fixed Income Friday: April 27th
A brief summary of developments in the global fixed income markets.
(BLOG) Macro Briefing: April 21st
A quick chart-tour highlighting important developments in financial markets