Includes comments on the real Fed Funds rate, investor sentiment, LATAM FX and small-cap stocks.
(BLOG) Morning Brief: August 23rd, 2018
Comments on the Brazilian Real, Italian bond yields, high yield ETF flows and US swap spreads.
(BLOG) Morning Brief: Aug 22nd, 2018
Recession Fears Yet another call for a recession, using the yield curve as a predictor. This time from Marc Seidner from PIMCO. He says there is a 70% chance the world economy enters a recession in the next 5 years. Why it matters. It doesn’t. First, making a recession call with a 5-year window …
(FORBES) ETFs Won’t Cause The Next Wave Of Panic Selling In The Bond Market
Don’t believe it when people say ETFs will be responsible for the next wave of panic selling in the bond market. There is no evidence to support such a claim. In fact, they will help market liquidity, not hurt. Click here to read the entire article on Forbes
(FORBES) The Path To Hyperinflation: What Happened To Venezuela?
It’s hard to imagine daily life with an annual inflation rate of 1,000,000%. At that rate, the price of a cup of coffee doubles between your weekly paychecks. That is what the citizens of Venezuela are facing, according to a recent report from the IMF. The story of how the country went from relative stability …
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(BLOG) Macro Briefing: July 16th, 2018
An update on the major events impacting financial markets.
(FORBES) How To Play A Rebound In EM Stocks
The emerging market asset class is testing investor resolve. With few exceptions, stocks and bonds of developing countries have provided negative total returns so far in 2018. The outlook for future returns, though, is better now that valuations have adjusted lower. It’s time to take a serious look at investing in emerging market equities. But …
(LinkedIn) 3 Mistakes I Made After the Launch of My First Book
The completion of a book is something to celebrate. Researching, writing, rewriting and editing take hundreds of hours. Most authors, though, are not satisfied with the mere completion of their book. They want people to read it, of course. Getting people to do so is often the hardest part of the process. Click here to …
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(FORBES) 3 Jedi Mind Tricks To Guide You Through The Next Bear Market
If you knew with 100% certainty that an economic recession was coming, would you alter your long-term asset allocation? If your answer is yes, then proceed to the next question. If you knew that trying to time the market correctly is virtually impossible, would you try to do it anyway? If so, you need to …
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(BLOG) Friday Macro Briefing
Short and sweet, Lots of charts. Here is a brief update on some the major macro issues moving markets.
