If you knew with 100% certainty that an economic recession was coming, would you alter your long-term asset allocation? If your answer is yes, then proceed to the next question. If you knew that trying to time the market correctly is virtually impossible, would you try to do it anyway? If so, you need to …
Continue reading “3 Jedi Mind Tricks To Guide You Through The Next Bear Market”
Credit markets around the globe are beginning to show signs of stress. The one outlier is the US High Yield bond market. Can the performance be sustained? Click here to read the entire post on Forbes
Warren Buffett popularized Ben Graham’s notion of “Margin of Safety” when evaluating the quality of an investment. The idea is that the future is unpredictable and we have to allow for the chance that our projections may be wrong, so we need a cushion in our analysis to protect us when things don’t go according to plan. …
Continue reading “The Bond Market Needs A Margin Of Safety, Too”
What happened to the synchronized global upswing? In just a few short (but memorable) months, it finally seemed possible that we could put an end to proclamations of the “new normal” and “secular stagnation“. 2018 was supposed to be the year of accelerating growth, but so far, in Chinese calendar terms, it looks more like …
Global markets were volatile again last week. Here are some of the major movers and indicators that investors should be watching. Click here to read the entire post on Forbes
When I say “Jump”, you say “How high?” That describes the relationship between the bond market and the stock market over the last ten years. Whenever there was a bout of equity volatility, which usually was associated with a sharp drawdown, investors could count on their safe-haven US Treasuries to offset some of the loss. …
Financial advisors want to help you navigate the investment minefield, but please don’t ask them these questions. Click here to read the entire article on Forbes
There are serious signs of stress in the US money markets. Commercial paper and LIBOR spreads have soared over the last couple of months to the highest levels since the 2008 financial crisis. The difference between LIBOR and OIS, a popular gauge of distress in the banking sector, has widened to 0.57% today from 0.10% just …
Continue reading “Does The Spike In LIBOR Signal The Next Financial Crisis?”
If you are like most investors, you probably have some extra cash sitting in your brokerage account. The cash may come from interest or dividends and may be considered temporary, it may be a result of a short-term asset allocation decisions, or it could be a strategic allocation to get exposure to fluctuating money market …
Continue reading “A Risk-Free Way To Improve Your Portfolio Return”
Many eyes are watching emerging markets economies. The economies of countries such as China, Thailand, and South Korea, along with their stock markets, soared last year and are outpacing developed markets so far in 2018. Click here to read the entire article on Forbes
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