Precarious. That is the best word to describe the current situation in Iran. The intersection of geopolitics, economics and internal politics is forcing painful change. How did Iran get to this point and where is it headed? Click here to read the entire post on Forbes
Comments on inflation in Iran, commodity futures roll yields, short-term real rates and local currency EM bonds.
Comments on high yield volatility, EEM vs SPY, FX risk reversals and CP spreads.
Comments on: GDP Estimates, Agriculture Slump, US 10Y Term Premium, S&P Margins
10 interesting charts on the markets and economy: risk parity, Brazil ETF flows, trade wars, gold returns, equity valuations, IG credit fundamentals, high yield flows, UST sentiment and US economic activity indicators.
Includes comments on the real Fed Funds rate, investor sentiment, LATAM FX and small-cap stocks.
Comments on the Brazilian Real, Italian bond yields, high yield ETF flows and US swap spreads.
Recession Fears Yet another call for a recession, using the yield curve as a predictor. This time from Marc Seidner from PIMCO. He says there is a 70% chance the world economy enters a recession in the next 5 years. Why it matters. It doesn’t. First, making a recession call with a 5-year window …
Don’t believe it when people say ETFs will be responsible for the next wave of panic selling in the bond market. There is no evidence to support such a claim. In fact, they will help market liquidity, not hurt. Click here to read the entire article on Forbes
It’s hard to imagine daily life with an annual inflation rate of 1,000,000%. At that rate, the price of a cup of coffee doubles between your weekly paychecks. That is what the citizens of Venezuela are facing, according to a recent report from the IMF. The story of how the country went from relative stability …